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Luck Lab

Good, or just lucky?

Your all-play record is what you'd have gone if you played every team every week. The gap between that and your real record is luck: the schedule, and who happened to have a monster week against you.

Career luck

Wins you didn't earn

Expected wins come from the all-play. Luck is actual wins minus expected. Close games are decided by under 5 points.

Regular season only, active managers, sorted by career luck.

Single seasons

Horseshoes and black cats

Cruel & kind

Scored 150 and lost, scored 80 and won

Schedule swap

What if you'd had their schedule?

Each row keeps that manager's weekly scores and plays them against another manager's opponents. The outlined cell is the real record; gold is the best schedule, red the worst.